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Palermo vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Mon, Sep 7, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palermo host Sampdoria in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Palermo have averaged 1.87 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sampdoria's 1 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Palermo have won 2 to Sampdoria's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.81, favoring Palermo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Palermo
15%
Draws
21%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Sampdoria.
  • Model gives Palermo a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Sampdoria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
3:3
Dec 12, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:1
May 17, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 58 / 100
Sampdoria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Sampdoria
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0
Lecce
11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
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Sampdoria

(Away)
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2
Sampdoria
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Novara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modena 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Cesena 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Padova 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Avellino 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
6 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
12 Juve Stabia 2 1 0 1 2:2 1
13 Carrarese 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Verona 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
20 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)