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Palermo vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Strefezza G.
Assist: Augello T.
18'
Henderson L.
18'
Insigne L.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Palermo
20%
Draws
19%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Sampdoria.
  • Model gives Palermo a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Sampdoria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
3:1
Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
3:3
Dec 12, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Strefezza G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pohjanpalo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Insigne L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Sampdoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Palermo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Sampdoria
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
01 Nov
Palermo
3 : 1
Vicenza
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)