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Stadium Background

Palestine vs Saudi Arabia

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Thu, Dec 11, 2025
1 - 2
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Hamdan H.
58' Event
Al Buraikan F.
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Seyam T. In: Al Qaq A.
Out: Seyam T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Palestine
35%
Draws
39%
Saudi Arabia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia have won more games recently than Palestine.
  • Model gives Palestine a 26% chance of winning this.
  • Saudi Arabia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Palestine Clean Sheet 68%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestine Saudi Arabia
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
1:2
Jan 9, 2024 Friendly International
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
1:1
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Palestine
5:0
Oct 15, 2019 World Championship
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestine Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabbagh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanno M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestine 59 / 100
Saudi Arabia 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestine Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palestine scored in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Palestine remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palestine VS Saudi Arabia
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestine

(Home)
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
11 Dec
Palestine
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
Page 1 of 5

Saudi Arabia

(Away)
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palestine 1
Saudi Arabia 2
Jordan 1
Iraq 0
Morocco 1
Syria 0
Algeria 1
United Arab Emirates 2
Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia 0
Jordan 1
Morocco 3
United Arab Emirates 0
Final
Jordan 2
Morocco 3
Saudi Arabia 0
United Arab Emirates 0