Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palestino vs A. Italiano Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Da Silva N.
37' Event
Perez Kirby S. A.
Own Goal
45'
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Palestino
15%
Draws
37%
A. Italiano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palestino come out ahead of A. Italiano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Palestino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Palestino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor A. Italiano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Palestino Clean Sheet 19%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestino A. Italiano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Palestino
3:2
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
Palestino vs A. Italiano
1:2
Jun 1, 2026 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs A. Italiano
0:0
Aug 1, 2025 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Palestino
1:1
May 11, 2025 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Palestino
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Roco E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Troyansky F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 85 / 100
A. Italiano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestino A. Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palestino scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

A. Italiano let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Palestino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS A. Italiano
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestino

(Home)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
O Higgins
0 : 1
Palestino
Page 1 of 6

A. Italiano

(Away)
25 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 0
A. Italiano
22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Colo Colo
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)