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Palestino vs U. De Concepcion Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Rojas L.
31'
Barbieri M.
38' Event
Waterman C.
Assist: Rojas L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between Palestino and U. De Concepcion finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palestino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Palestino
15%
Draws
21%
U. De Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Palestino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palestino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Palestino Clean Sheet 20%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestino U. De Concepcion
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Palestino
1:0
Jan 7, 2021 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Palestino
1:1
Oct 1, 2020 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs U. De Concepcion
0:1
Sep 1, 2019 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Palestino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Munder C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapia Paez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

U. De Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Waterman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 85 / 100
U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestino U. De Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Palestino scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Palestino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

U. De Concepcion's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS U. De Concepcion
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestino

(Home)
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
O Higgins
0 : 1
Palestino
18 Aug
Palestino
5 : 1
Huachipato
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U. De Concepcion

(Away)
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
10 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
11 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
12 Huachipato 22 8 4 10 30:39 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)