Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palestino W vs U. De Concepcion W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palestino W play U. De Concepcion W in the Primera Division Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palestino W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. U. De Concepcion W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Palestino W won 3, U. De Concepcion W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Palestino W and 0.88 for U. De Concepcion W. This points to a Palestino W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Palestino W
21%
Draws
31%
U. De Concepcion W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Palestino W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Palestino W picked up more points recently compared to U. De Concepcion W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Palestino W Clean Sheet 25%
U. De Concepcion W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestino W U. De Concepcion W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Division Women
U. De Concepcion W vs Palestino W
1:1
Aug 13, 2025 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs U. De Concepcion W
2:0
May 14, 2025 Primera Division Women
U. De Concepcion W vs Palestino W
1:2
Jul 21, 2024 Primera Division Women
U. De Concepcion W vs Palestino W
3:0
Mar 30, 2024 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs U. De Concepcion W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino W 48 / 100
U. De Concepcion W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestino W U. De Concepcion W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palestino W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palestino W attacking → ← attacking U. De Concepcion W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palestino W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

U. De Concepcion W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Palestino W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

U. De Concepcion W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W15141061:243
2U. De Chile W15122144:1138
3U. Catolica W15120331:836
4Coquimbo W1584320:828
5U. Espanola W1473417:1324
6Palestino W1454522:1919
7Huachipato W1453614:2418
8Deportes Iquique W1552817:2217
9U. De Concepcion W1543811:2615
10S. Wanderers W1533911:2412
11Magallanes W15321010:3211
12Deportes Temuco W15211211:437
13Recoleta W15201315:526