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Pallohonka vs Gnistan Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dudu
15' Event
Koskinen M.
23'
Koskinen M.

AI Match Summary

Gnistan in this Kakkonen South 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gnistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pallohonka
30%
Draws
52%
Gnistan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gnistan lately — more wins on the board than Pallohonka.
  • Win probability leans Gnistan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gnistan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pallohonka Clean Sheet 17%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pallohonka Gnistan
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Kakkonen South
Pallohonka vs Gnistan
0:3
Sep 6, 2014 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
1:0
May 21, 2014 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
2:1
Aug 24, 2013 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
2:1
Jul 2, 2013 Kakkonen South
Pallohonka vs Gnistan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pallohonka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koskinen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pallohonka 10 / 100
Gnistan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pallohonka Gnistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pallohonka scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Gnistan conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Pallohonka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gnistan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pallohonka

(Home)
16 Jan
Pallohonka
2 : 3
Klubi 04
04 Oct
Pallohonka
2 : 5
BK-46
28 Sept
SoVo
1 : 2
Pallohonka
24 Sept
Pallohonka
0 : 3
Gnistan
20 Sept
Ekenas IF
3 : 0
Pallohonka
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Gnistan

(Away)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ekenas IF 27 20 4 3 69:33 64
2 GrIFK 27 18 3 6 72:27 57
3 BK-46 27 15 6 6 68:40 51
4 KaPa 27 11 6 10 48:46 39
5 Klubi 04 27 11 5 11 40:48 38
6 SalPa 27 11 2 14 49:45 35
7 Pallohonka 27 8 5 14 37:47 29
8 Gnistan 27 7 8 12 32:46 29
9 SoVo 27 7 2 18 29:68 23
10 Espoo 27 2 9 16 26:70 15
Promotion - Kakkonen East 2014 (Play Offs)