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Palmacia vs Fortaleza B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Fares Lopes. This has Fortaleza B written all over it on paper. Fortaleza B have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Palmacia have conceded 1.86 and scored 0.71. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.44, favoring Fortaleza B. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Palmacia
35%
Draws
56%
Fortaleza B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza B lately — more wins on the board than Palmacia.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza B's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Fortaleza B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Palmacia Clean Sheet 16%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmacia Fortaleza B
Matches Played 7 8
Wins 0 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmacia 23 / 100
Fortaleza B 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmacia Fortaleza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza B let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Palmacia found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (7 games).

Solid form: Palmacia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Fortaleza B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmacia VS Fortaleza B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmacia

(Home)
31 Oct
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tirol
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
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Fortaleza B

(Away)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)