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Palmacia vs Pacatuba

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Palmacia Logo

Palmacia

Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Pacatuba Logo

Pacatuba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmacia host Pacatuba in the Cearense 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Palmacia have averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Pacatuba's 0.75 scored and 1.7 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.46, favoring Pacatuba. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Palmacia
30%
Draws
70%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pacatuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Pacatuba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pacatuba a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Palmacia Clean Sheet 16%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmacia Pacatuba
Matches Played 5 20
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.6 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmacia 23 / 100
Pacatuba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmacia Pacatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacatuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pacatuba conceded in 75% of 20 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Palmacia scored in 40% of their last 5 outings.

Pacatuba's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmacia VS Pacatuba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmacia

(Home)
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
02 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 3
Acopiara
26 Jul
Calouros do Ar
1 : 0
Palmacia

Pacatuba

(Away)
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
01 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
27 Jul
Acopiara
0 : 0
Pacatuba
23 Mar
Pacatuba
1 : 3
Crato
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
2 Acopiara 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Esporte Limoeiro 4 2 1 1 4:1 7
4 Pacatuba 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Calouros do Ar 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Tiangua EC 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
7 Palmacia 5 0 0 5 3:10 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)