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Palmas vs Cerrado

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmas in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Palmas
20%
Draws
30%
Cerrado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmas lately — more wins on the board than Cerrado.
  • Model gives Palmas a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Palmas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Cerrado
Matches Played 40 17
Wins 17 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
4:1
May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
1:0
May 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Palmas
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 85 / 100
Cerrado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Cerrado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Palmas scored in 68% of their last 40 outings.

Cerrado let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Cerrado

(Away)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 1
Interporto 3
Palmas 4
Final
Tocantinopolis 1
Palmas 4