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Palmas vs Cerrado

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
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AI Match Summary

Palmas in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Palmas
20%
Draws
30%
Cerrado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmas lately — more wins on the board than Cerrado.
  • Model gives Palmas a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Palmas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Cerrado
Matches Played 40 17
Wins 17 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
4:1
May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
1:0
May 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Palmas
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 85 / 100
Cerrado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Cerrado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Palmas scored in 68% of their last 40 outings.

Cerrado let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Cerrado

(Away)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 1
Interporto 3
Palmas 4
Final
Tocantinopolis 1
Palmas 4