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Palmas vs Paraiso EC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 game between Palmas and Paraiso EC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Palmas
39%
Draws
30%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmas come out ahead of Paraiso EC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Paraiso EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 10, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Palmas
0:3
May 4, 2016 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 9, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Palmas
3:1
Apr 21, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Palmas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 32 / 100
Paraiso EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Palmas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Palmas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Paraiso EC
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
18 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 0
Paraiso EC
12 Oct
Paraiso EC
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis1475219:1226
2Interporto1465325:2323
3Palmas1471623:1722
4Gurupi1463519:1521
5Paraiso EC1455419:1620
6Araguaina1453618:2118
7Tocantins1442823:3314
8Guarai SC1432920:2911
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)