Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Palmas host Tocantins in the Tocantinense 2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Palmas have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Tocantins's 0.65 scored and 2.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Palmas have won 2 to Tocantins's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 3.00 vs 0.69, favoring Palmas. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Palmas taking it.
- Regular Tocantinense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palmas | Tocantins |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tocantins conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Palmas found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Palmas
(Home)Tocantins
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tocantinopolis | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Bela Vista-TO | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Capital FC | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Gurupi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Tocantins | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Interporto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 8 | Palmas | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0:21 | 0 |
