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Palmas vs Uniao Carmolandense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Brasileiro J.
50' Event
Thalyson Coimbra

AI Match Summary

Uniao Carmolandense in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Carmolandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Palmas
35%
Draws
40%
Uniao Carmolandense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense have won more games recently than Palmas.
  • Model gives Uniao Carmolandense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uniao Carmolandense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 19%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Uniao Carmolandense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Uniao Carmolandense
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Palmas
3:0
Feb 12, 2022 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Palmas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Uniao Carmolandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Brasileiro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thalyson Coimbra
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 12 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Uniao Carmolandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Carmolandense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Palmas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uniao Carmolandense let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Uniao Carmolandense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Uniao Carmolandense

(Away)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)