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Palmeira da Una vs Alecrim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Potiguar 2
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AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2 game between Palmeira da Una and Alecrim finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeira da Una.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Palmeira da Una
15%
Draws
51%
Alecrim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alecrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alecrim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Palmeira da Una a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Potiguar 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Alecrim have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Palmeira da Una Clean Sheet 13%
Alecrim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeira da Una Alecrim
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.82 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Potiguar 2
Palmeira da Una vs Alecrim
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 Potiguar
Palmeira da Una vs Alecrim
1:3
Jan 31, 2016 Potiguar
Alecrim vs Palmeira da Una
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeira da Una 40 / 100
Alecrim 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeira da Una Alecrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alecrim let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Alecrim's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Palmeira da Una scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeira da Una VS Alecrim
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeira da Una

(Home)
07 Oct
Mossoro
0 : 2
Palmeira da Una
27 May
Palmeira da Una
0 : 2
Santa Cruz de Natal
22 May
Palmeira da Una
3 : 4
Potiguar de Mossoró
19 May
America RN
0 : 0
Palmeira da Una
16 May
Palmeira da Una
0 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
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Alecrim

(Away)
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
25 Oct
Univap
0 : 3
Alecrim
19 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
QFC
16 Oct
Mossoro
2 : 1
Alecrim
12 Oct
Alecrim
2 : 1
Visao Celeste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Palmeira da Una 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Alecrim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Visao Celeste 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Mossoro 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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