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Palmeira vs Botafogo Prediction & H2H Stats

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Palmeira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Palmeira
15%
Draws
7%
Botafogo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Palmeira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Palmeira taking it.
  • Palmeira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeira, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Palmeira have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeira Botafogo
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 19 3
Draws 12 7
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 1.59 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Botafogo vs Palmeira
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Botafogo
1:0
Jun 26, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Botafogo vs Palmeira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeira 85 / 100
Botafogo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeira Botafogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeira scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Botafogo has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Palmeira has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Botafogo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeira VS Botafogo
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeira

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1
SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0
Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
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Botafogo

(Away)
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
11 May
Botafogo
0 : 3
Boavista da Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Botafogo
1 : 2
Palmeira
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rosariense 2
Academica do Mindelo 6
Palmeira 1
Botafogo 0
Final
Academica do Mindelo 1
Palmeira 0