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Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Nubank Parque
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Luis Pacheco
38'
Abel Ferreira
43'
Allan Elias

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras host Chapecoense-SC in the Serie A Betano. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Palmeiras at 2 goals for, 0.63 against; Chapecoense-SC at 1.63 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Palmeiras have won 5 to Chapecoense-SC's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Palmeiras. Palmeiras in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Palmeiras
6%
Draws
4%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Palmeiras has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chapecoense-SC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Palmeiras.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Palmeiras
0:2
Jun 6, 2021 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
3:1
Oct 17, 2019 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Jun 2, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Palmeiras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 85 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Chapecoense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Chapecoense-SC let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Palmeiras went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chapecoense-SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Chapecoense-SC
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339