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Palmeiras U17 vs Bahia U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Braga N.
34' Event
Wesley Lima
37' Event
Juan Francisco

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 2025 game between Palmeiras U17 and Bahia U17 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Palmeiras U17
33%
Draws
27%
Bahia U17
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Palmeiras U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmeiras U17 come out ahead of Bahia U17 on wins alone.
  • Palmeiras U17 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Brasileiro U17 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Palmeiras U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U17 Bahia U17
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 3.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Palmeiras U17 vs Bahia U17
5:1
Aug 14, 2024 Brasileiro U17
Palmeiras U17 vs Bahia U17
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Lima
2 Goals
Assists Leader Braga N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Bahia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anthony
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U17 38 / 100
Bahia U17 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U17 Bahia U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras U17 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Bahia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Palmeiras U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U17 VS Bahia U17
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U1719151355:1946
2Athletico-PR U1719123450:2639
3Flamengo RJ U1719114440:2337
4Bragantino U1719113536:1936
5Gremio U1719112644:3235
6Atletico-MG U1719105444:2235
7Fluminense U1719105430:2235
8Vasco U171996435:2833
9Corinthians U171995541:2632
10Santos U171994635:3131
11Sao Paulo U171985631:2729
12Cruzeiro U171983841:3127
13Fortaleza U171973924:2524
14Botafogo RJ U171955933:4620
15EC Juventude U1719541022:3619
16Internacional U1719531129:3418
17Cuiaba U1719271016:4313
18Bahia U1719231421:489
19America MG U1719151317:528
20Atletico GO U1719041514:684