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Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
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AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 play America MG U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palmeiras U20 averaged 2.46 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. America MG U20 averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeiras U20 won 4, America MG U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for Palmeiras U20 and 1.31 for America MG U20. This points to a Palmeiras U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Palmeiras U20
18%
Draws
28%
America MG U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 picked up more points recently compared to America MG U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 18%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 America MG U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.46 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20
7:1
Jun 25, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20
4:1
May 29, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20
1:0
Jan 25, 2023 Copinha
Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20
2:1
Aug 7, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs America MG U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Gabriel
3 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Teresa
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

America MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira Petinic W. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 52 / 100
America MG U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 America MG U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Palmeiras U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeiras U20 attacking → ← attacking America MG U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20 scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

America MG U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Palmeiras U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

America MG U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 41
3.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515