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Palmeiras U20 vs Brasil de Pelotas U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 play Brasil de Pelotas U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 2022. Palmeiras U20 are favorites here. Recently, Palmeiras U20 averaged 2.66 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Brasil de Pelotas U20 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeiras U20 won 2, Brasil de Pelotas U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 10, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Palmeiras U20 and 0.94 for Brasil de Pelotas U20. This points to a Palmeiras U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Palmeiras U20
19%
Draws
11%
Brasil de Pelotas U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 picked up more points recently compared to Brasil de Pelotas U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Brasil de Pelotas U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Brasil de Pelotas U20
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 21 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.66 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2022 Copa do Brasil U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Brasil de Pelotas U20
2:1
Oct 3, 2022 Copa do Brasil U20
Brasil de Pelotas U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Brasil de Pelotas U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 68 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas U20 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Brasil de Pelotas U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Palmeiras U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeiras U20 attacking → ← attacking Brasil de Pelotas U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20 scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

Brasil de Pelotas U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Palmeiras U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Brasil de Pelotas U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 8
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00