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Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Vinicius
41' Event
Vinicius
77' Event
Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Palmeiras U20
20%
Draws
19%
Ituano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ituano U20.
  • Palmeiras U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Ituano U20
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 30 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.64 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20
2:1
Sep 21, 2026 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:1
Aug 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20
4:0
Jan 17, 2026 Copinha
Ituano U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:3
Jul 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs Palmeiras U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius
3 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ituano U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 95 / 100
Ituano U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Ituano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Palmeiras U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ituano U20 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U20 VS Ituano U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 8

Ituano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)