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Palmeiras vs Capivariano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Arena Barueri
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vitor Roque
17'
Carlos Eduardo
28'
Diogo Mateus

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras in this Paulista matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Palmeiras
6%
Draws
4%
Capivariano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Capivariano.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmeiras here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Capivariano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Capivariano
4:0
Mar 6, 2016 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Capivariano
4:1
Feb 28, 2015 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Capivariano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Roque
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Capivariano Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 95 / 100
Capivariano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Capivariano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Palmeiras stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Capivariano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Novorizontino2
Santos1
Portuguesa1
Corinthians2
Palmeiras4
Capivariano0
Bragantino1
Sao Paulo2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino1
Corinthians0
Palmeiras2
Sao Paulo1
Final
Novorizontino1
Palmeiras3