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Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Nubank Parque
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Luis Pacheco
38'
Abel Ferreira
43'
Allan Elias

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Palmeiras
6%
Draws
4%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Palmeiras
0:2
Jun 6, 2021 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
3:1
Oct 17, 2019 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Jun 2, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Palmeiras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 85 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Chapecoense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Chapecoense-SC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Palmeiras has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Chapecoense-SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359