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Palmeiras vs Flamengo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras host Flamengo RJ in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Palmeiras at 1.83 goals for, 0.72 against; Flamengo RJ at 2.14 for, 0.76 against. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring Flamengo RJ. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Palmeiras
20%
Draws
42%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Palmeiras haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.83 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
3:2
May 25, 2025 Serie A
Palmeiras vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Aug 11, 2024 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 42 / 100
Flamengo RJ 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Palmeiras remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Flamengo RJ
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)
08 Nov
Vasco
2 : 2
Palmeiras
05 Nov
Palmeiras
6 : 1
Remo
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Vasco
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
24 Oct
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bragantino
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Flamengo RJ

(Away)
04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1
Gremio
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ
26 Oct
Flamengo RJ
3 : 2
Atletico-MG
23 Oct
Flamengo RJ
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)