Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

4 - 1

Junior

Our Tip

Match Events

Arias J.

Assist: Lopez J.

16'

Chara Y.

29'

Pestana J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Palmeiras

35%

Draws

16%

Junior

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Palmeiras have won more games recently than Junior.
Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Palmeiras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%

Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Palmeiras	Junior
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	9
Draws	11	8
Losses	4	12
Goals Scored	1.8	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

4:1

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Palmeiras

1:1

Apr 11, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

3:0

Mar 7, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Palmeiras

0:2

May 17, 2018 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Allan Elias

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.32

Avg xA / game 0.85

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Muriel L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.05

Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 86 / 100

Junior 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Palmeiras Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Palmeiras has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Junior let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Junior

1.75 Goals Scored 1.17

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.67

75% Over 1.5 67%

50% Over 2.5 33%

38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)

16 Sept

LDU Quito

3 : 3

Palmeiras

12 Sept

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Sao Paulo

09 Sept

Palmeiras

1 : 0

LDU Quito

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

03 Sept

Santos

0 : 0

Palmeiras

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Junior

(Away)

13 Sept

Alianza

1 : 0

Junior

06 Sept

Junior

3 : 3

Jaguares de Cordoba

29 Aug

Junior

1 : 1

Santa Fe

26 Aug

America De Cali

4 : 2

Junior

24 Aug

Junior

1 : 1

Once Caldas

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