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Stadium Background

Palmeiras vs Santos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Caballero G.
34' Event
Lopez J.
Assist: Andreas Pereira
45' Event
Andreas Pereira

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Palmeiras
35%
Draws
20%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos haven't matched Palmeiras's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palmeiras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Palmeiras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Santos
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.94 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Serie A
Santos vs Palmeiras
0:0
Sep 3, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Santos vs Palmeiras
0:0
Aug 27, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Palmeiras vs Santos
3:0
May 2, 2026 Serie A
Palmeiras vs Santos
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Santos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andreas Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 95 / 100
Santos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Palmeiras has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santos let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Santos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)
05 Nov
Palmeiras
6 : 1
Remo
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Vasco
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
24 Oct
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bragantino
22 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 1
Fluminense
Page 1 of 7

Santos

(Away)
02 Nov
Bragantino
2 : 1
Santos
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1
Bahia
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Santos
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Anapolis -
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Rio Branco ES -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Operario MS -
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Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
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Alagoinhas -
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Maranhao -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
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Capital -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
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Mirassol -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
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Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
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Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
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Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
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Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
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Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio 2
Atletico-MG 0
Vasco 0
Palmeiras 1
Final
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