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Palmeiras W vs Ariquemes W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras W play Ariquemes W in the Brasileiro Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palmeiras W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Ariquemes W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeiras W won 1, Ariquemes W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 26, 2023 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Palmeiras W and 1.38 for Ariquemes W. This points to a Palmeiras W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Palmeiras W
16%
Draws
29%
Ariquemes W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Palmeiras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Palmeiras W picked up more points recently compared to Ariquemes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 17%
Ariquemes W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Ariquemes W
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 24 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Ariquemes W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lais Estevam
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ariquemes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 53 / 100
Ariquemes W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Ariquemes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Palmeiras W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeiras W attacking → ← attacking Ariquemes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras W scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Ariquemes W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Palmeiras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ariquemes W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

79 Points in last 5 39
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W15121253:837
2Palmeiras W15112248:1435
3Ferroviaria W15111338:1634
4Santos W15102332:1032
5CR Flamengo W15101423:1431
6Internacional W1591525:1628
7Sao Paulo W1574427:1325
8Cruzeiro W1564536:2622
9Gremio W1561816:2219
10Avai Kindermann W1561825:3319
11Real Brasilia W1552816:2417
12Atletico-MG W1551917:2316
13Bahia W15411025:3313
14Athletico-PR W15311115:3310
15Ariquemes W15301210:549
16Ceara W1501147:741