Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeiras W vs Atletico-MG W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Nubank Parque
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Taina Maranhao
14'
Dias A.
17' Event
Pimenta
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Palmeiras W
17%
Draws
13%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Palmeiras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras W lately — more wins on the board than Atletico-MG W.
  • Win probability leans Palmeiras W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Palmeiras W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Atletico-MG W
4:1
Aug 21, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Palmeiras W
0:4
Apr 23, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Atletico-MG W
3:1
Mar 5, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Atletico-MG W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Taina Maranhao
3 Goals
Assists Leader Benitez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 77 / 100
Atletico-MG W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Atletico-MG W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Palmeiras W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Atletico-MG W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Palmeiras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras W VS Atletico-MG W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245