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Palmeiras W vs Bahia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
1 - 2
12:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Ju Oliveira
18'
Brena Carolina
28' Event
Raissa Bahia

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Palmeiras W
30%
Draws
39%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia W have won more games recently than Palmeiras W.
  • Bahia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bahia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Bahia W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.69 3.41
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
1:2
Sep 1, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Palmeiras W
1:1
May 2, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Palmeiras W
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
3:1
Mar 17, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raissa Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 10 / 100
Bahia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Bahia W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Palmeiras W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras W VS Bahia W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras W

(Home)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2