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Palmeiras W vs Corinthians W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Giovanna Campiolo

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Palmeiras W and Corinthians W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Palmeiras W
30%
Draws
39%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Corinthians W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Palmeiras W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 15%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Corinthians W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 19
Draws 10 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.72 2.33
Goals Conceded 0.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Corinthians W
1:0
May 30, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Palmeiras W vs Corinthians W
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Corinthians W
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Supercopa do Brasil Women
Palmeiras W vs Corinthians W
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Palmeiras W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovanna Campiolo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Corinthians W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 39 / 100
Corinthians W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Corinthians W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Corinthians W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Palmeiras W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras W VS Corinthians W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras W

(Home)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
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Corinthians W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)