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Palmeiras W vs Napoli W

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Brasileiro Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras W play Napoli W in the Brasileiro Women 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palmeiras W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Napoli W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeiras W won 1, Napoli W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2021 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Palmeiras W and 1.31 for Napoli W. This points to a Palmeiras W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Palmeiras W
22%
Draws
26%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Palmeiras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Palmeiras W picked up more points recently compared to Napoli W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 18%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Napoli W
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 24 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Napoli W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bia Zaneratto
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thais Ferreira
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Napoli W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 50 / 100
Napoli W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Napoli W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palmeiras W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeiras W attacking → ← attacking Napoli W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras W scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Napoli W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Palmeiras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Napoli W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

79 Points in last 5 40
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W15122144:1338
2Palmeiras W15114045:1337
3Sao Paulo W1585231:1429
4Santos W1583427:1727
5Ferroviaria W1583421:1527
6Internacional W1583419:1627
7Gremio W1574427:2125
8Avai Kindermann W1563619:1921
9CR Flamengo W1546514:1918
10Real Brasilia W1546512:2218
11Cruzeiro W1543824:2515
12Sao Jose W1534816:2813
13Botafogo RJ W1525813:2211
14Minas Brasilia W1525811:2611
15Napoli W1514109:437
16Bahia W1504118:274