Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2013

Pirassununguense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmeirinha SP play Pirassununguense in the Paulista A4 2013. Pirassununguense are favorites here. Recently, Palmeirinha SP averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Pirassununguense averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeirinha SP won 0, Pirassununguense won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 14, 2013 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Palmeirinha SP and 1.81 for Pirassununguense. This points to a Pirassununguense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Palmeirinha SP

16%

Draws

57%

Pirassununguense

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Pirassununguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Palmeirinha SP picked up more points recently compared to Pirassununguense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Palmeirinha SP Clean Sheet 11%

Pirassununguense Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Palmeirinha SP	Pirassununguense
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	6	12
Draws	3	7
Losses	23	11
Goals Scored	0.78	1.53
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2013 Paulista A4

Palmeirinha SP vs Pirassununguense

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

May 18, 2013 Paulista A4

Pirassununguense vs Palmeirinha SP

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeirinha SP 27 / 100

Pirassununguense 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Palmeirinha SP Pirassununguense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirassununguense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Pirassununguense & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeirinha SP attacking → ← attacking Pirassununguense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeirinha SP scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Pirassununguense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Palmeirinha SP went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pirassununguense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 43

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fernandopolis	8	4	4	0	10:4	16
2	Tanabi	8	4	3	1	14:6	15
3	AEA Aracatuba	8	4	2	2	12:5	14
4	Bandeirante	8	2	2	4	8:11	8
5	AEIS	8	0	1	7	6:24	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente	8	5	2	1	15:6	17
2	Tupa	8	4	1	3	15:7	13
3	Assisense	8	3	3	2	12:13	12
4	Osvaldo Cruz	8	3	2	3	7:7	11
5	Presidente Prudente	8	1	0	7	4:20	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Matonense	10	7	3	0	31:6	24
2	Olimpia FC	10	6	2	2	16:8	20
3	Inter de Bebedouro	10	5	3	2	20:20	18
4	Jose Bonifacio EC	10	3	2	5	9:13	11
5	Guariba	10	2	1	7	9:26	7
6	Taquaritinga	10	1	1	8	7:19	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CA Paulistinha	10	7	2	1	20:8	23
2	Americo EC	10	4	5	1	18:11	17
3	XV de Jau	10	4	3	3	15:10	15
4	Pirassununguense	10	3	4	3	19:13	13
5	Palmeirinha SP	10	0	6	4	10:25	6
6	Radium	10	0	4	6	4:19	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA Brasil	8	4	3	1	13:7	15
2	Taboao da Serra	8	4	3	1	13:5	15
3	Cotia	8	3	3	2	9:8	12
4	Elosport	8	3	2	3	15:11	11
5	Desportivo	8	0	1	7	4:23	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SEV Hortolandia	10	6	2	2	20:18	20
2	Lemense	10	6	2	2	22:7	20
3	Primavera EC	10	5	3	2	14:7	18
4	Nacional SP	10	5	2	3	23:12	17
5	Guarulhos	10	1	2	7	13:26	5
6	Sumare	10	1	1	8	9:31	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Suzano	10	6	3	1	26:17	21
2	Uniao Mogi	10	4	5	1	20:11	17
3	ECUS SP	10	2	6	2	12:11	12
4	Jacarei (Inactive)	10	2	5	3	14:16	11
5	Manthiqueira	10	2	4	4	10:15	10
6	Atletico Mogi	10	0	5	5	10:22	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Agua Santa	10	6	2	2	20:11	20
2	Portuguesa Santista	10	6	1	3	16:9	19
3	Diadema	10	5	2	3	20:12	17
4	Jabaquara	10	4	2	4	14:15	14
5	EC Sao Bernardo	10	2	5	3	14:12	11
6	Mauaense	10	0	2	8	8:33	2