Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paloma vs Sasel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg game between Paloma and Sasel finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Paloma
15%
Draws
14%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paloma come out ahead of Sasel on wins alone.
  • Paloma are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Paloma Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paloma Sasel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.45 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
3:2
May 3, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Paloma
4:4
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Paloma
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paloma 40 / 100
Sasel 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paloma Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sasel conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Paloma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paloma VS Sasel
3 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paloma

(Home)
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Paloma
3 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
28 Aug
Suderelbe
2 : 5
Paloma
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Sasel

(Away)
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
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