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Paloma vs Sasel Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Paloma
15%
Draws
5%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sasel haven't matched Paloma's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Paloma taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Paloma Clean Sheet 14%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paloma Sasel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.53 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
3:2
May 3, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Paloma
4:4
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Paloma
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Sasel
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paloma 84 / 100
Sasel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paloma Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Sasel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Paloma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paloma VS Sasel
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paloma

(Home)
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Paloma
3 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
28 Aug
Suderelbe
2 : 5
Paloma
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Sasel

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
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