Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium

Pamba

2 - 3

Tanzania Prisons

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Kunambi K.

45'

Chanongo H.

50'

Mbisa M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Pamba

33%

Draws

27%

Tanzania Prisons

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Pamba lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania Prisons.
40% — that's where the model lands on Pamba taking it.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Pamba Clean Sheet 68%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pamba	Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	8
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Dec 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Pamba

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Dec 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Pamba

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Tegisi M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanongo H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mwajanga O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 50 / 100

Tanzania Prisons 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pamba Tanzania Prisons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Tanzania Prisons has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Pamba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Tanzania Prisons

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9