Sport Picks
Pamba vs Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza 
Match Events
29'
29'
Kunambi K.
45'
45'
Chanongo H.
50'
50'
Mbisa M.
AI Match Summary
Tanzania Prisons in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania Prisons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania Prisons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tanzania Prisons lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania Prisons taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Pamba Clean Sheet 18%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pamba | Tanzania Prisons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Tanzania Prisons
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Pamba
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Pamba
1:0
Aug 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pamba Compare
Top Goalscorer Tegisi M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Top Goalscorer Chanongo H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mwajanga O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pamba 23 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pamba Tanzania Prisons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tanzania Prisons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pamba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Tanzania Prisons has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Tanzania Prisons lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pamba VS Tanzania Prisons
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pamba
(Home) 13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
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13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
14 Aug
Pamba
1 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
27 Jun
Pamba
1 : 2 JKT Tanzania
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2 Mbeya City
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Tanzania Prisons
(Away) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
18 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
