Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pamba vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ani E.
Assist: Lyanga A.
8' Event
Okorocha N.
Own Goal
38' Event
Mwanengo E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Pamba and TRA United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pamba
20%
Draws
80%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pamba haven't matched TRA United's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on TRA United taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pamba Clean Sheet 22%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba TRA United
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
1:3
Apr 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs TRA United
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Pamba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ani E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwanengo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 13 / 100
TRA United 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

TRA United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Away concern: TRA United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS TRA United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
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TRA United

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)