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Pamplona vs Aoiz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea, Pamplona
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Amadoz S.
69' Event
Elizondo U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
40%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • Model gives Pamplona a 25% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Aoiz
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
2:2
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2
Feb 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Oct 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadoz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Elizondo U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 49 / 100
Aoiz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aoiz conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pamplona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS Aoiz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
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Aoiz

(Away)
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Ezcabarte 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
3 Aoiz 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mutilvera 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Beti Kozkor 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Doneztebe FT 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
7 Subiza 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 AD San Juan 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
9 Gazte Berriak 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Cortes 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 CD Cantolagua 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
12 CD Beti Onak 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Huarte 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Pamplona 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Bidezarra 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Valle Egues 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
17 Cirbonero 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
18 Txantrea 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)