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Pamplona vs Aoiz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea, Pamplona
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Match Events

54' Event
Amadoz S.
69' Event
Elizondo U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pamplona
30%
Draws
39%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • Model gives Aoiz a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Aoiz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
2:2
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2
Feb 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Oct 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadoz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Elizondo U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 28 / 100
Aoiz 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aoiz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pamplona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS Aoiz
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
31 Oct
Pamplona
2 : 4
Valle Egues
24 Oct
Txantrea
5 : 1
Pamplona
18 Oct
Pamplona
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
10 Oct
Izarra
2 : 1
Pamplona
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
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Aoiz

(Away)
30 Oct
Bidezarra
1 : 1
Aoiz
24 Oct
Aoiz
1 : 1
AD San Juan
18 Oct
Cirbonero
2 : 1
Aoiz
10 Oct
Aoiz
0 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 9 8 1 0 26:4 25
2 Mutilvera 9 6 3 0 15:3 21
3 Beti Kozkor 9 5 1 3 10:9 16
4 AD San Juan 9 4 2 3 17:10 14
5 Ezcabarte 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Gazte Berriak 9 4 2 3 9:7 14
7 Subiza 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Valle Egues 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
9 Txantrea 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
10 Doneztebe FT 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Aoiz 9 2 5 2 8:7 11
12 Cirbonero 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
13 CD Cantolagua 9 3 0 6 5:20 9
14 CD Beti Onak 9 1 5 3 11:14 8
15 Pamplona 9 1 4 4 7:14 7
16 Huarte 9 1 4 4 7:15 7
17 Cortes 9 1 3 5 4:16 6
18 Bidezarra 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)