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Pamplona vs Bidezarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ortigosa X.
60' Event
Gil Etxabarri I.
75' Event
Tollar Ugarte G.

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
41%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Pamplona have won more games recently than Bidezarra.
  • Pamplona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 68%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Bidezarra
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.62 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Bidezarra
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pamplona
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pamplona
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Bidezarra
0:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pamplona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Etxabarri I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tollar Ugarte G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortigosa X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 50 / 100
Bidezarra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Bidezarra conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Pamplona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS Bidezarra
1.63 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
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Bidezarra

(Away)
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)