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Pamplona vs Burlades Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Zapata J.
43' Event
Cubillo M.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Gil Etxabarri I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Pamplona and Burlades finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
32%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pamplona come out ahead of Burlades on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pamplona's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 68%
Burlades Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Burlades
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.85 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Burlades
4:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Pamplona
2:3
Mar 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Burlades
2:3
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Pamplona
0:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Burlades
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil Etxabarri I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Burlades Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 86 / 100
Burlades 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Burlades's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Pamplona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)