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Pamplona vs Idoya

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Idoya in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Idoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
9%
Idoya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Idoya.
  • Win probability leans Pamplona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%
Idoya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Idoya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Idoya
1:1
Aug 27, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Pamplona
0:0
Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Idoya
0:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Pamplona
0:0
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Pamplona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 85 / 100
Idoya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Idoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Idoya has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pamplona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Idoya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
23 May
Pamplona
1 : 1
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 7

Idoya

(Away)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)