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Pamplona vs Murchante

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
44%
Murchante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pamplona have won more games recently than Murchante.
  • Model gives Pamplona a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%
Murchante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Murchante
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 28 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.02 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Murchante
0:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
0:1
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
2:1
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Murchante
2:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 36 / 100
Murchante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Murchante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona scored in 91% of their last 43 games.

Defensive concern: Murchante conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pamplona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
23 May
Pamplona
1 : 1
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 9

Murchante

(Away)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)