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Panaderia vs Tenerife C Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Paez D.
10' Event
Mendoza K.
21' Event
Paez D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Panaderia
20%
Draws
29%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenerife C haven't matched Panaderia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Panaderia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panaderia Tenerife C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tenerife C
3:3
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Panaderia
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tenerife C
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastor N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Paez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Darias G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panaderia 95 / 100
Tenerife C 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panaderia Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panaderia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Panaderia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tenerife C conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Panaderia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panaderia VS Tenerife C
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panaderia

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife C

(Away)
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Las Palmas C 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 San Bartolome 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 UD San Fernando 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
5 Mensajero 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
6 CD Marino 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
7 San Miguel 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Estrella 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
9 Tenerife C 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Los Llanos 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Villa Santa Brigida 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Anaza 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
13 Panaderia 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
14 Lanzarote 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 Union Sur Yaiza 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
16 Villaverde Norte 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
17 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)