Sport Picks
Panaderia vs Union Sur Yaiza Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Panaderia lately — more wins on the board than Union Sur Yaiza.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 20%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Panaderia | Union Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Panaderia
0:3
Jun 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Panaderia
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Panaderia
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Panaderia 32 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Panaderia Union Sur Yaiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panaderia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Union Sur Yaiza has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Panaderia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Panaderia VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Panaderia
(Home) 26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0 Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3 Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3 Tenerife C
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
11 Apr
Panaderia
2 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
Page 1 of 3
Union Sur Yaiza
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
29 Mar
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
