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Panagriniakos vs Agios Matthaios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panagriniakos host Agios Matthaios in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. This one's hard to separate. Agios Matthaios have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Panagriniakos have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Agios Matthaios slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2021, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.13) point toward Agios Matthaios. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Panagriniakos
20%
Draws
50%
Agios Matthaios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agios Matthaios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Panagriniakos at 1.34 per game, Agios Matthaios at 0.97.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Panagriniakos Clean Sheet 20%
Agios Matthaios Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panagriniakos Agios Matthaios
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Agios Matthaios vs Panagriniakos
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Panagriniakos vs Agios Matthaios
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panagriniakos 32 / 100
Agios Matthaios 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panagriniakos Agios Matthaios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agios Matthaios Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agios Matthaios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Panagriniakos's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Panagriniakos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panagriniakos VS Agios Matthaios
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Panagriniakos

(Home)
04 Oct
Panagriniakos
0 : 5
Panachaiki
26 Sept
Preveza
2 : 0
Panagriniakos
27 Aug
Panagriniakos
1 : 2
Pamisos
30 Apr
Panagriniakos
6 : 3
AO Trikala
23 Apr
Asteras Petriti
2 : 1
Panagriniakos
Page 1 of 6

Agios Matthaios

(Away)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
10 Apr
Asteras Kalirachis
1 : 1
Agios Matthaios
03 Apr
Agios Matthaios
2 : 2
Iraklis Ampelokipi
30 Mar
Agios Matthaios
2 : 3
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)