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Panagriniakos vs Aris Filiaton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panagriniakos host Aris Filiaton in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aris Filiaton have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Panagriniakos have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.35. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 1.79) point toward Aris Filiaton. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Panagriniakos
15%
Draws
59%
Aris Filiaton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris Filiaton lately — more wins on the board than Panagriniakos.
  • Aris Filiaton are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Panagriniakos Clean Sheet 11%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panagriniakos Aris Filiaton
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.35 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.84 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panagriniakos 14 / 100
Aris Filiaton 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panagriniakos Aris Filiaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Filiaton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panagriniakos scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Aris Filiaton conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Panagriniakos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Aris Filiaton has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panagriniakos VS Aris Filiaton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panagriniakos

(Home)
04 Oct
Panagriniakos
0 : 5
Panachaiki
26 Sept
Preveza
2 : 0
Panagriniakos
27 Aug
Panagriniakos
1 : 2
Pamisos
30 Apr
Panagriniakos
6 : 3
AO Trikala
23 Apr
Asteras Petriti
2 : 1
Panagriniakos
Page 1 of 7

Aris Filiaton

(Away)
04 Oct
Aris Filiaton
1 : 2
Panegialios FC
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)