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Panama U21 vs Colombia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
2 - 1
08:00 PM
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Match Events

14' Event
Ryce A.
Penalty Missed
52' Event
Ryce A.
70' Event
Arango J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Panama U21
15%
Draws
37%
Colombia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panama U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia U21 have won more games recently than Panama U21.
  • Win probability leans Panama U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Colombia U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Colombia U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Panama U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Colombia U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama U21 Colombia U21
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama U21 vs Colombia U21
2:1
Jul 30, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama U21 vs Colombia U21
0:1
Jul 20, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Colombia U21 vs Panama U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryce A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Colombia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arango J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama U21 40 / 100
Colombia U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama U21 Colombia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panama U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panama U21 scored in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Defensive concern: Colombia U21 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Panama U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panama U21 VS Colombia U21
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama U21

(Home)
07 Aug
Panama U21
2 : 1
Colombia U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Panama U21
3 : 0
Cuba U21
01 Aug
Costa Rica U21
0 : 3
Panama U21
30 Jul
Panama U21
0 : 1
Colombia U21
Page 1 of 3

Colombia U21

(Away)
07 Aug
Panama U21
2 : 1
Colombia U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Costa Rica U21
1 : 1
Colombia U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Cuba U21
30 Jul
Panama U21
0 : 1
Colombia U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U21 4
Panama U21 0
Colombia U21 0
Venezuela U21 1
Final
Mexico U21 2
Venezuela U21 3
Panama U21 2
Colombia U21 1