Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panama vs Curacao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Panama at 1.55 goals for, 1.3 against; Curacao at 1.94 for, 1.23 against. Past meetings favor Panama slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2023, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 2.00, favoring Panama. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Panama
20%
Draws
57%
Curacao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Curacao average 1.94 goals a game right now, well clear of Panama's 1.55.
  • Curacao are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Panama, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%
Curacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Curacao
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Panama
1:2
Jun 15, 2021 World Championship
Curacao vs Panama
0:0
Jun 12, 2021 World Championship
Panama vs Curacao
2:1
Jul 10, 1978 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama vs Curacao
6:1
Jan 10, 1959 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama vs Curacao
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 10 / 100
Curacao 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Curacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panama scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Curacao let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Panama stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Curacao
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2
Panama
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
25 Sept
India
1 : 1
Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 7

Curacao

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mexico -
Jamaica -
Panama -
Curacao -
USA -
Haiti -
Canada -
Guatemala -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -