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Panama vs Jamaica

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Panama Logo

Panama

4 - 1
FT
Jamaica Logo

Jamaica

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Diaz I.
Assist: Martinez C.
17' Event
Diaz I.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
27' Event
Bell A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Panama
30%
Draws
54%
Jamaica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jamaica lately — more wins on the board than Panama.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Jamaica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panama, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Panama Clean Sheet 16%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Jamaica
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Gold Cup
Panama vs Jamaica
4:1
Mar 24, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica vs Panama
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 World Championship
Panama vs Jamaica
3:2
Sep 5, 2021 World Championship
Jamaica vs Panama
0:3
Jun 30, 2019 Gold Cup
Jamaica vs Panama
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jamaica Compare

Top Goalscorer Bell A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 31 / 100
Jamaica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Jamaica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panama's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jamaica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Panama has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Jamaica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
25 Sept
India
1 : 1
Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

Jamaica

(Away)
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
D.R. Congo
1 : 0
Jamaica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Costa Rica 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Dominican Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Suriname 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Honduras 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
3 Curacao 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 El Salvador 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Guatemala 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamaica 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Guadeloupe 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Trinidad & Tobago 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Haiti 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)