Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panama vs New Zealand

World World

Kirin Cup (Japan) Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Thu, Oct 1, 2026
1 - 2
06:10 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Stamenic M.
Assist: Waine B.
45' Event
Herbert G.
46'
Sub
Gutierrez J. In: Valencia O.
Out: Gutierrez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Panama
20%
Draws
70%
New Zealand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Zealand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand come out ahead of Panama on wins alone.
  • New Zealand are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • New Zealand arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Panama Clean Sheet 15%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama New Zealand
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Kirin Cup (Japan)
Panama vs New Zealand
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Stamenic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 27 / 100
New Zealand 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama New Zealand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panama found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

New Zealand let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Panama stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS New Zealand
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
25 Sept
India
1 : 1
Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
Page 1 of 6

New Zealand

(Away)
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Japan 1
Ecuador 0
Panama 1
New Zealand 2
Final
Japan -
New Zealand -
Ecuador -
Panama -