Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panama vs Paraguay

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Velazquez G.
Assist: Rojas M.
46'
Sub
Diaz I. In: Gondola F.
Out: Diaz I.
61'
Gimenez N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Panama and Paraguay finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Panama
20%
Draws
51%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paraguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Panama's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Paraguay have produced (1.1).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Paraguay here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Panama Clean Sheet 16%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Paraguay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Friendly International
Panama vs Paraguay
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Friendly International
Panama vs Paraguay
0:0
Feb 29, 2012 Friendly International
Paraguay vs Panama
1:0
Sep 3, 2011 Friendly International
Panama vs Paraguay
0:2
Aug 20, 2003 Friendly International
Paraguay vs Panama
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 31 / 100
Paraguay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panama scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Paraguay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Panama has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Paraguay
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
Page 1 of 6