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Panargiakos vs Ilioupoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Argos Municipality Stadium, Argos
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Match Events

28'
Diallo D.
28'
Diallo D.
29' Event
Miya F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between Panargiakos and Ilioupoli finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilioupoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Panargiakos
30%
Draws
12%
Ilioupoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panargiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilioupoli come out ahead of Panargiakos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Panargiakos a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Panargiakos Clean Sheet 68%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panargiakos Ilioupoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.48 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ilioupoli
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ilioupoli
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panargiakos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ilioupoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsoumanis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panargiakos 77 / 100
Ilioupoli 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panargiakos Ilioupoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panargiakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilioupoli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Panargiakos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ilioupoli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panargiakos VS Ilioupoli
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Panargiakos

(Home)
27 Sept
Panthouriakos
0 : 0
Panargiakos
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
Panargiakos
29 Mar
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
2 : 0
Panargiakos
Page 1 of 6

Ilioupoli

(Away)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)