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Panathinaikos vs AEK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panathinaikos host AEK in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. AEK have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Panathinaikos have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.87. Head-to-head, Panathinaikos have won 1 to AEK's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring AEK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Panathinaikos
15%
Draws
36%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Panathinaikos.
  • Win probability leans Panathinaikos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos AEK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.87 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Panathinaikos
2:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs AEK
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Panathinaikos
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs AEK
2:3
May 4, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panathinaikos
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 95 / 100
AEK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Panathinaikos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AEK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS AEK
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
15 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Borac Banja Luka
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Panathinaikos
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

AEK

(Away)
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0
OFI Crete
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 7 5 1 1 7:2 16
3 PAOK 7 5 0 2 15:9 15
4 AEK 6 4 2 0 16:3 14
5 Aris 7 4 1 2 10:13 13
6 Kalamata 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
7 OFI Crete 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
8 Iraklis FC 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
9 Panetolikos 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
10 Kifisia 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
12 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
13 Levadiakos 7 0 2 5 0:11 2
14 Volos 7 0 3 4 6:12 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)